Many have asked me why many of us in the DAP believe that the impending general elections will be held some time end of this year (and latest by March 2008).
Here are the factors that lead to my conclusion…
1. The share market looks good and steady at the moment. Unless something unexpected happen to strike at the Shanghai or New York stock markets, the government would do whatever it takes to sustain the domestic market. Come August 31 this year, Malaysia will be celebrating its50 years of nationhood. Naturally, the ruling coalition will make use of this opportunity to brag about its success and at the same time create a mood and atmosphere that’s favourable to the Umno-led BN Government.
2.The national Budget will be announced in September. AAB will certainly use the opportunity to dish out goodies and sweeteners to voters, making it a truly ‘election year budget’.
3. After creating a feel good mood for a month or so using the mainstream media, it’s time to call for the general elections before the ‘euphoria’ is over. November 25 will be just nice and auspicious for AAB, if not he can still wait until 15 December.
4. The Ijok by-election result shows that the opposition is gaining momentum. They knew that they have won the by-election because of bribes, threats and frauds.BN would not leave the trend goes unchecked.
5. Come January 1, there will be another round of toll increases. And this time involves the entire North-South Highways. This is not a good time to call for general elections.
6. The only nice date available in 2008 for AAB would be 15 March. If anything unforeseen happens in March, AAB would be left with no more auspicious date. And by April 2008, his arch rival Anwar will be eligible to contest. This is the last thing he wants to see. He and other Umno leaders may have described Anwar as an non-entity, non-starter or any other name; but deep down in their hearts, they know pretty well what kind of damage this man could bring to their election campaign.
Yes, printers who were given the jobs were required to deliver everything by September this year. Notices have been sent to all government schools to standby for elections. Teachers were being recruited as returning officers and polling officers at this point of time. Even the SPR Chairman Rashid have openly said that those who wish to vote must get themselves registered as voters latest by August this year.
Samy Vellu have recently challenged Anwar to fight him in Sg Siput. Why? Because he knows that Anwar would not be eligible to contest as yet. If the general election was to be held after April next year, do you think ‘Semi-value’ dares to make such challenge?